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Title: August 13, 2025

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GATHERING STORM COMMUNITY BRIEF 12 AUGUST 2025

Recently, a group of analysts from the Gathering Storm Community have tasked themselves with the possibility of upcoming terror attacks in September 11th, 2025 — and October 7, 2025. We are currently collecting information and will be sifting through and analyzing data to present you the reader, the best threat picture we can produce through OSINT (Open Source Intelligence). Between now and those dates, our focus will be to find and verify as much as we can and disseminate that information. We feel that taking into consideration, all the best Intel over the past year regarding terror attacks has pointed to a high likelihood of multiple events occuring, that it would be prudent at this juncture to share and inform.

30,000 ft. View

Terrorist attacks, including those motivated by Islamist extremism, often show a tendency to be planned around specific dates that hold symbolic or religious significance for the perpetrators. These dates can be anniversaries of past events, religious holidays, or other dates deemed significant by the group.

Examples of patterns:

• Anniversaries: 
Terrorists may choose to attack on the anniversary of a past event, such as the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing (April 19) or the 2001 9/11 attacks (September 11).

• Religious holidays:
Some groups may target specific religious holidays or festivals, either to disrupt religious observances or to inflict maximum casualties during times of increased gatherings.

• Political events:
Terrorist attacks can also be timed to coincide with significant political events, such as elections or international summits, to maximize media attention and impact.

• Specific numbers:
Certain numbers can hold symbolic meaning for terrorist groups. For example, the number 19 has been associated with the 9/11 attacks.

• Geographic targeting:
Groups may also target specific locations based on historical or political significance, such as targeting European cities on the anniversary of past attacks or striking at symbolic locations within their country of operation. 



Important considerations:

• Not all attacks follow these patterns:
While some attacks are clearly planned around specific dates, many others appear to be opportunistic or based on other strategic considerations.

• Intelligence gathering:
Identifying and understanding these patterns is crucial for intelligence and security agencies as it can help them anticipate and prevent future attacks.

• Context is key:
It is important to analyze the specific context of each attack, including the group's ideology, motivations, and capabilities, to understand the full range of factors that may have influenced the choice of date.

In summary, while not a strict rule, terrorists often choose attack dates based on symbolic, religious, or political significance, making it important to monitor these patterns for security purposes.

Specific dates of concern in 2025 are:

·         Sept 11th, 2025

·         October 7th, 2025

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