Gi Forum

Comments

Be respectful in your interactions with fellow members. You can Go Here to read our Terms and Rules. Visit My Profile to create your avatar and see your posts. If you to report a bug or issue, email us at support.GI US.com


Title: February 9, 2026

GRAY ZONE BRIEF 9 FEBRUARY 2026
 
GEN Z WORSE THAN SPIES?
 
**Gen Z Spies: Are Gamers a Bigger Threat Than Foreign Operatives?**-
 
US Air National Guardsman Jack Teixeira found friends online like many Gen Z gamers during Covid-19. He had a girlfriend known as ‘Crow’, a young woman he’d never met in person. Teixeira also traded memes and war videos with virtual friends on the Discord platform, and - if prosecutors are right - leaked hundreds of US secrets to impress an unlikely group of military strategists: chronically online teens living at home with mom. Jonathan Askonas, an academic and co-author of the Foreign Policy article on gaming, said his central argument is that the traditional acronym intelligence officers use to recruit spies, MICE (Money, Ideology, Compromise, Ego), needs a fifth addition to describe the durable, deep social ties experienced by people heavily involved in an online community. “It's not really about ‘video games’ as such but about the way the Internet is rewiring human sociality in ways that current counterespionage practices do not know how to cope with.” So how did we arrive here? It is a tale rooted in the Cold War that features NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden and an intriguing set of cyber spies who play online games for a living.
 
FAR LEFT FIO (FOREIGN INFLUENCE OPERATIONS
 
**Far-left group with foreign ties undermining US under guise of protest, report warns** - Report link
https://networkcontagion.us/wp-content/uploads/Democratic-Socialists-of-America_-Policy-Advocacy-and-Narrative-Convergence-with-Hostile-Foreign-States.pdf
 
SHADOW FOI CAMPAIGNS
 
**State actor targets 155 countries in 'Shadow Campaigns' espionage op**-
A state-sponsored threat group has compromised dozens of networks of government and critical infrastructure entities in 37 countries in global-scale operations dubbed 'Shadow Campaigns'. Between November and December last year, the actor also engaged in reconnaissance activity targeting government entities connected to 155 countries.
 
DOMESTIC TERRORISM ROUND UP
NORTH CAROLINA
 
• Christian Sturdivant, 18, of Mint Hill, N.C., was indicted on federal charges of attempting to provide material support to ISIS after authorities say he planned an attack on a grocery store and a fast-food restaurant around New Year’s Eve 2026, according to a federal affidavit.
 
• FBI agents allege that Sturdivant communicated online with what he thought were ISIS members, pledged allegiance to the group, and sent images of weapons such as hammers and knives to an undercover contact.
 
• Law enforcement executed a search of his residence on Dec. 29, 2025, and reported finding handwritten documents titled “New Years [sic] Attack 2026” listing tactical gear and a plan to stab civilians, along with hammers and knives in his home. He remains in federal custody and faces a statutory maximum of 20 years in prison.
 
CALIFORNIA
 
• Mark Lorenzo Villanueva, 29, of Long Beach, Calif., pleaded guilty in federal court to attempting to provide material support to the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) and to being a felon in possession of a firearm after prosecutors found a homemade bomb at his residence in August 2025.
 
• Prosecutors said Villanueva communicated via social media beginning in February 2025 with an individual who claimed to be an ISIS fighter and, based on instructions, sent more than $1,600 overseas to fund ammunition, weapons, and supplies.
 
• Sentencing is scheduled for June 17, 2026, with potential prison terms of up to 35 years.
 
ATLANTA
 
• Cholo Abdi Abdullah, a 34-year-old Kenyan national and al-Shabaab operative, was sentenced on December 22, 2025, to two consecutive life terms plus lifetime supervised release following his November 2024 conviction on six terrorism-related charges, including conspiring to murder U.S. nationals and commit aircraft piracy.
 
• Abdullah plotted with al-Shabaab to hijack a commercial airliner and carry out a 9/11-style attack targeting U.S. high-rise buildings, including Atlanta’s Bank of America Plaza.
 
• From 2017 to 2019, al-Shabaab funded Abdullah’s pilot training in the Philippines, where he logged flight hours and studied cockpit security, hijacking tactics, and U.S. visa requirements. The plot was disrupted in July 2019 when Philippine authorities arrested Abdullah, who was extradited to the United States in 2020.
 
GZB INFOCUS: Xi Drains the Central Military Commission
 
The fall of Zhang Youxia suggests that professional dissent has become a liability in China’s top military ranks.
 
Last week, China’s Ministry of National Defense announced that Zhang Youxia, first vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, and Liu Zhenli, chief of the Joint Staff Department, were under investigation for “serious violations of discipline and law.” The announcement followed days of speculation after both men were conspicuously absent from a high-level party seminar presided over by President Xi Jinping. A Politburo member, Zhang was the highest-ranking uniformed officer in the People’s Liberation Army and second only to Xi within the CMC. He and Liu were the only CMC members with actual combat experience, having fought in the Sino-Vietnamese conflicts of the late 1970s and 1980s. With their removals, nearly the entire CMC formed after the 20th Party Congress in 2022 has now been purged, leaving Zhang Shengmin, the PLA’s discipline chief, as the sole uniformed member.
Such a situation is without precedent in the post-Mao era. Even Xi’s earlier military purges, including the downfall of two former CMC vice chairmen in 2015 and the removal of two defense ministers since 2023, did not empty out the top military command so completely. The only historical parallel lies in the early Cultural Revolution, when the CMC effectively disappeared from public view between 1966 and 1971. Therefore, rather than being just another in a long string of recent corruption cases, this event marks a structural rupture within China’s military system.
 
Since Xi took office in 2012, he has placed exceptional trust in Zhang Youxia. Zhang was crucial to the PLA’s modernization drive, first serving as head of the CMC’s Equipment Development Department and later as vice chairman overseeing operational command. He also played a decisive role in executing Xi’s 2015 military reforms, which dismantled the Soviet-style, army-centric command structure and replaced it with joint theater commands designed for modern warfare. Xi elevated Zhang to second-ranked CMC vice chairman in 2017, then broke age norms in 2022 by naming the then-72-year-old Zhang as China’s senior general. (Top politicians generally retire around the age of 68-70, with Xi himself being a rare exception.)
As for Liu Zhenli, his role complemented Zhang’s. As chief of the Joint Staff Department, Liu oversaw joint operations planning, exercises and operational readiness, the core functions required for any conflict around Taiwan. His career trajectory, including command of the PLA Ground Force and service in the People’s Armed Police, placed him at the center of China’s evolving joint command system.
Officially, Zhang and Liu have been accused of corruption and failing to rein in their associates. Such charges are plausible, since corruption – particularly the buying and selling of promotions – has long been deeply rooted within the PLA.
 
Xi’s own anti-corruption campaign has punished nearly 1 million officials annually, often charging them with offenses related to military procurement and promotions. Yet corruption alone does not explain the scale or timing of the purge. What makes this case different is the explicit political language used in official indictments. Zhang and Liu were accused not only of corruption but also of undermining the “CMC chairman responsibility system” and weakening the party’s absolute leadership over the military. This accusation suggests political or ideological defiance, or, at least, professional resistance interpreted by Xi as disloyalty.
 
A couple of juicy rumors about Zhang can almost certainly be dismissed. First, if he were guilty of leaking nuclear secrets to the United States, as unnamed sources have told Western media, then he would likely already be dead, not under investigation. The Chinese Communist Party’s centralized control over foreign military contacts, and Zhang’s own limited foreign interactions, also make such unilateral disclosures implausible.
 
Second, when Xi disappeared from public view for nearly two weeks in May and June 2025, there were rumors that Zhang used his absence to consolidate his own power base within the PLA. For example, several senior generals were removed, and Xi’s name was temporarily absent from articles published in CCP-linked outlets. No real evidence ever surfaced to suggest that there was some sort of plot to overthrow Xi, and Xi soon reappeared in full control.
 
A likelier explanation for Zhang’s downfall is simple civil-military disagreement. For one thing, Zhang did not see eye to eye with Xi regarding the timeline and method for preparing a Taiwan operation, as evidenced by official PLA publications, Five-Year Plan documents and public speeches. Xi has insisted that the PLA must be capable of invading Taiwan by 2027, a politically symbolic date tied to the PLA’s centenary.
 
Achieving this would require mature joint operational capability, something the PLA has struggled to implement Zhang, by contrast, has repeatedly emphasized fixing long-standing training deficiencies before accelerating joint operations. When he discussed modernization priorities in late 2025, he anticipated full joint operational capability closer to 2035, which aligns more closely with the PLA’s traditional tempo.
Zhang and Liu’s purge highlights an important pattern throughout Xi’s rule: Personal loyalty does not guarantee survival. The investigations of Qin Gang, Liu Yuan, Wang Qishan and now Zhang Youxia all illustrate the same rule. Xi values loyalty, but he values absolute authority more. In civil-military terms, Zhang represented something Xi could not tolerate: an alternative figure of professional authority with real combat experience and institutional credibility. Even if Zhang was loyal in intent, his resistance to Xi’s timeline equaled political defiance in Xi’s framework.
 
In the short term, this purge damages command cohesion and morale. Networks of trust have been disrupted, experienced commanders removed and political fear reinforced. The absence of combat experience at the CMC level is significant, but the PLA remains capable of routine operations. Joint combat readiness patrols around Taiwan have continued without noticeable disruption.
 
Institutional stability ensures that exercises, deployments and gray-zone activities proceed largely as planned. Strategically, the likelihood of a near-term invasion of Taiwan remains low, as complex joint operations require experienced commanders who trust one another – exactly what the purge has undermined. A failed invasion would be catastrophic for Xi. However, there is a possibility that the purge will produce more aggressive tactical behavior, as new commanders eager to demonstrate loyalty may favor quick and attention-grabbing action over professional caution. This increases the risk of miscalculation, even as it decreases the likelihood of a full-scale war.
 
Having eliminated Zhang, whose opposing views and growing support base within the PLA became a threat, Xi almost certainly remains in control. However, he achieved that control by making a less-than-ideal choice: He further exposed the depth of corruption in the PLA, left the CMC with barely any sitting members, and revealed a serious level of mistrust between the nation’s political leadership and military professionals. Whether this strengthens China’s long-term military effectiveness or only solidifies a culture of fear remains uncertain. What is clear is that the party remains in a position of absolute power, but at a cost.
 
Pray.
 
Train.
 
Stay informed.
 
Be vigilant.
 

—END REPORT

All Comments

Sort by

New Comment